In the labyrinth of governance, where the shadows of hope and despair intertwine, the Federal Government has ascended into a realm of borrowing that transcends mere numbers. The staggering 55.6% surplus over its borrowing target for 2025, amounting to N17.36 trillion in the face of a prescribed limit, serves as a haunting reminder of humanity's perpetual struggle against the specter of unsustainable aspirations.
This fiscal narrative unfolds with the weight of existential questions, as N15.8 trillion emerges from the depths of domestic sources, while N1.56 trillion drifts in from foreign shores,a testament to the relentless pursuit of value in a world where the currency of trust is seldom in abundance. The Federal Government, in a moment of grasping desperation, seeks to raise an additional $2.35 billion through the ethereal allure of Eurobonds, propelling the cumulative borrowing toward an astronomical N20.74 trillion. Yet, as we peer into the abyss of projections, the specter of N23 trillion looms, an excess hauntingly reminiscent of our perennial failures to reconcile ambition with reality.
The Appropriation Act of 2025 stands as a monument to human fallibility, projecting total expenditures of N54.99 trillion against anticipated revenues of N41.91 trillion, culminating in a deficit that must be filled by borrowed promises. The monthly target of N1.09 trillion is but a fleeting whisper against the backdrop of N15.8 trillion acquired through myriad instruments,Treasury Bills, Bonds, and Savings Bonds,that dance in the flickering light of fiscal indiscipline.
Critics, those vigilant guardians of reason, observe that the patterns of excessive borrowing echo the unsustainable rhythms of bygone administrations. The trajectory of our fiscal existence appears as a Sisyphean struggle, one that not only jeopardizes access to credit for the private sector but undermines the fragile edifice of debt sustainability.
As we dissect the anatomy of these borrowings, we uncover the paradox of N11.43 trillion raised through Treasury Bills, while the issuance of FGN Bonds wanes, a reflection of shifting priorities. The rise of Sukuk Bonds, once an echo of silence, now reverberates with the clamor of N300 billion,a fleeting moment of optimism in the shadows of uncertainty.
The surge in borrowing is an intricate tapestry woven from threads of fiscal indiscipline and unrealistic projections, particularly within the oil sector. The dreams of production and price, once soaring at 2.06 million barrels per day and $75 per barrel, have crumbled to the mundane reality of 1.6 to 1.7 million barrels and diminishing prices.
Moreover, the current borrowing patterns clash with the sacred goals of fiscal consolidation, threatening to spiral into an unsustainable debt-service ratio,a haunting 83% of revenue by 2024. The warnings from the IMF and World Bank resonate like distant thunder, foreshadowing the storm that lies ahead unless restraint is exercised with urgency.
In this moment of reckoning, experts articulate a roadmap out of the existential quagmire, advocating for stringent fiscal and tax reforms that could reclaim the narrative of our financial existence. A call to curtail waste and enhance spending efficiency beckons, urging a metamorphosis towards a disciplined approach that rebalances our reliance on longer-tenor, concessional external loans,a flicker of light in the pervasive darkness.
As we conclude this existential exploration, we are left with the haunting realization that while the current borrowing may offer ephemeral relief, it casts a long shadow over Nigeria's economic future. The specter of a debt-laden existence looms ever closer, threatening to ensnare us in an inescapable cycle of despair unless we dare to act decisively, to emerge from the depths of borrowed promises into the light of sustainable fiscal health.